To President Biden
February 4, 2024: Sunday edition. Dear Sirs,
Mike Gallagher, chairman of the House of Commons China Select Committee: The Taiwan crisis will be incomparable to conflicts in Ukraine or the Middle East. I think this is too much of a leap.
"You should plan based on the worst-case scenario," he says. I think there are many "worst case scenarios" not only in China but all over the world. Why China?
The biggest short-term risk, he says, is that China concludes that now is its best chance to unify Taiwan by force. I want to know why this is an opportunity.
He will cause a war in the region, which will naturally involve America, Japan, and Australia. The scale of that war will be so large that it will be incomparable to the conflicts taking place in Ukraine and the Middle East.
Regarding the possibility of a Taiwanese emergency, he said, ``I believe that we have entered the most dangerous period.I believe that the danger will further increase after Taiwan's presidential election in January 2024.''
If the ruling Democratic Progressive Party wins the presidential election, Mr. Xi may conclude that he cannot conquer Taiwan through political struggle and may think that he must do so through actual war.
His logic is that if the Democratic Progressive Party wins the presidential election, Chou Jinping will not be able to conquer Taiwan in a democratic way, so he will conquer it in war.
As a result of this presidential election, Mr. Kiyonori Lai of the Democratic Progressive Party was elected. Mike Gallagher's logic is that China will go to war and invade Taiwan.
However, the Democratic Progressive Party was unable to maintain a majority in the Taiwanese National Assembly/Legislative Yuan elections held at the same time. Taiwanese citizens made a wise choice.
Therefore, even if Mr. Kiyonori Lai becomes president, he will not be able to implement an extreme pro-American policy. Nor can we pursue extreme anti-China policies. That's why I don't think a "Taiwan emergency" will occur.
``BBC'' With this victory, the Democratic Progressive Party government will enter an unprecedented third term. China views the party as moving too close to Taiwan's independence. For China, Taiwan's independence is a red line that it will never accept.
During the campaign, Lai repeatedly repeated Tsai's formula: "Taiwan is already an independent and sovereign state, so there is no need to declare independence. Its name is the Republic of China, which means Taiwan."
Mr. Yori rose to prominence as a member of the Democratic Progressive Party's ``New Trends.'' The new trend advocates a formal declaration of Taiwan's independence.
Mr. Lai and Mr. Xiao Meiqin, who was chosen as vice president, are hated and distrusted by the Chinese government. China has banned them from traveling to the mainland and Hong Kong.
Mr. Hsiao, the son of an American mother and a Taiwanese father, most recently served as Taiwan's representative to the United States.
Mr. Yori has promised to increase military spending, continue his own submarine-building program, and deepen ties with the United States, Japan, and Europe.
However, there may be concerns in the United States that the administration of Lai, who has a background as an independence politician, could be more provocative than the Tsai administration.
On the other hand, Vice President Xiao is a reassuring presence for the Joe Biden administration. Mr. Xiao is expected to take the lead in persuading the United States that Mr. Lai will never provoke China.
The BBC says that if former President Donald Trump wins this year's US presidential election, Lai will have to prepare for a completely different type of ally.
I am advocating a "G3 military alliance." I hope that Trump will make this happen if he becomes president. If the ``G3 Alliance'' is established, a ``Taiwan emergency'' will never occur.
Rather than creating a ``threat of war,'' we need to create a ``system'' that makes ``war'' impossible. “War” has weakened America. I have high hopes for Mr. Trump.
Part One. Citations/reference materials
[Commentary] What will happen to Taiwan's next president, Lai Ching-de, who is hated by China?
https://www.bbc.com/japanese/features-and-analysis-67973076
Taiwan presidential election: Democratic Progressive Party's Lai Ching-toku wins; Legislative Yuan fails to maintain majority
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20240113/k10014319761000.html
I'll write tomorrow too.
Part 2. Victims of human rights violations in Japan. "Chinese, Korean, Filipino, American, etc."
There are tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of victims all over the world. An unusual number of people.
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There are "innumerable" Chinese and Korean victims.
This was "before the war of WW2" because the Chinese and Koreans were "second-class citizens" of Japan, so the judiciary makes them "idiots".
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Everyone, please tell your acquaintances who went to Japan and were arrested for violating the Immigration Law.
It is necessary to demand "governments of each country" to "claim" the Japanese government for "restoration of honor and compensation for damages".
If the government doesn't respond, ask the media for help. "Justice media" will always exist.
You should be a "hero", go for it! !
<Target people>
"1" Provide "false documents" to a foreigner, and the foreigner acquires a "status of residence". And if the foreigner has "illegally worked".
A person who provides "false documents" such as an "employment contract" to a foreigner is innocent.
However, from January 2017, it will be punished by "law revision".
The Chinese and the Philippine embassy staff and diplomats I am 'criminally indicting' are completely innocent. See part 2 for weekdays (Monday to Friday) for details.
``2'' Foreign nationals who have been arrested for ``illegal employment (activities outside of their qualifications'') are ``in most cases'' innocent.***
Reason: The person who "employed" them has not been punished for "promoting illegal employment" under the Immigration Control Act. Therefore, by virtue of "equality under the law," foreigners are innocent.
"Most foreigners" are "deported" with "small" "fines". Foreigners should "claim" the Japanese government for "compensation" of "several million yen" per person.
It is crazy for Koreans to "claim compensation" from the Japanese government for the "comfort women issue" and "requisitioned labor issue." They should claim reparations from the "Korean government". (The Korean government has already received it).
The issue of "violation of the Immigration Control Act" is completely different from the "Japan-Korea Treaty". Therefore, Korean politicians need to "pursue" the Japanese government as a "new Japan-Korea problem". Koreans and Chinese should proudly claim that they are not "Japanese slaves."
Japan's prime minister shouts "rule under the law". They are "talking about Japan" crazy!
Only two countries, South Korea and the United States, have concluded an extradition treaty with Japan.
This is also evidence that Japan does not have a "rule under the law".
See "Indictment." The stated facts "state" the "fact" of "not guilty." (Japanese English)
http://www.miraico.jp/ICC-crime/2Related%20Documents/%EF%BC%91Indictment.pdf
"My Appeal" (Japanese)
https://blog.goo.ne.jp/nipponnoasa/e/f47a69183287f42bf0b6464aedb098cc
"My Appeal" (English)
https://blog.goo.ne.jp/nipponnoasa/e/58d63abf2802f3a9535e5c86fd2387a
I am "Japanese samurai". Japan should be "friends" with people of any country. "NO War"
Part 3. Construction of special zones.
The "special zone" "accepts" refugees and immigrants as "temporary immigrant" workers, limiting their residence to the "special zone". Developed countries can use them as low-wage workers for economic growth, and refugees and immigrants can get jobs and live a hopeful human life.
No2: https://world-special-zone.seesaa.net/
No1: https://naganoopinion.blog.jp/
Part 4. Ukraine war.
Zelensky took office on an "election promise" to scrap the Minsk Accords and regain territory through war. But when news of his tax evasion and tax havens came to light, he started a war.
No2: https://ukrainawar.seesaa.net/
No1: https://ukrainian-war.blog.jp/
Part 5. "U.S., Russia, and China" Tripartite Military Alliance/War Show
To create a world without war, we need a “Tripartite Military Alliance”!
No2: https://urc-military.seesaa.net/
No1: https://sangokugunzidoumei.blog.jp//
Part 6. Japan's notorious judicial system and human rights violations
Japan's judicial system: Immigration law violation case False accusation: Nissan Ghosn case False accusation: Abuse at immigration facility: International student/intern student case: Non-interference in domestic affairs: Foreign opinions
No2: https://nipponsihou.seesaa.net/
No1: https://humanrightsopinion.blog.jp/
Part 7. Corona sensor development
We should develop an "inspection system" that instantly "discovers" "infected persons" like thermography.
https://covid-19-sensor.seesaa.net/
Part 8. North Korea's Abduction and Missile Issues & Taiwan's Defense
https://taiwan-defense.seesaa.net/
Part 9. Promotion of One Coin Union & Hydrogen Vehicles
https://onecoinunion.seesaa.net/
Part 10. "Nagano" Opinion, Next Generation Nuclear Power: CO2 Free & SDGs: Russia/Ukraine Invasion Issues: Immigration/Refugee Issues: International/U.S. Politics/Taiwan Issues/Unification Church Issues
https://naganoopinion.seesaa.net/
Best regards.
Yasuhiro Nagano
